From Zogby:
George Allen of Virginia, a Republican once thought to be both a good bet for reelection and a possible presidential contender, continues to struggle. The Allen campaign has suffered from a series of missteps late in the summer, but he holds a three-point margin over Democrat Jim Webb, the former Reagan-era Navy Secretary who is challenging for his job. However, momentum is on the side of the challenger in this round, with Allen losing ground from the previous round of polling.
Source: Zogby Interactive survey of 1017 likely voters statewide, conducted Oct. 10 through 16, 2006. MOE +/- 3.1 percentage points.
More on this poll (with the pretty map) here.
I don’t trust Zogby. Haven’t since they showed Webb up 7 earlier in the year.
Posted by Dannyboy | Thursday, October 19, 2006, 5:26 pmI do not like that. Even though Zogby is highly suspect, I would like it better the other way around.
Posted by thegools | Thursday, October 19, 2006, 6:18 pmI don’t trust the interactive polls, either. The live ones seem to be OK.
Posted by vjp | Thursday, October 19, 2006, 10:34 pmI don’t trust either the interactive or the live polls. The most accurate ones seem to be the recorded phone calls. People don’t seem to lie as much to a machine as they do with a live person. I think that’s what makes Rasmussen and USAsurvey the most accurate. Having said all that, all the polls now seem to show about the same thing, Allen getting very close to 50% and Webb 3% or 4% lower.
Posted by Jane Oldham | Friday, October 20, 2006, 12:42 amVivian,
I came across this post, regarding the accuracy of polls in 2002. I thought you might find it interesting. It appears that either polls aren’t very good or republicans are just great closers:
http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL0211/S00078.htm
Posted by Jane Oldham | Friday, October 20, 2006, 2:23 am