Movin’ on up: Clinton 46%, Obama 45%

26 Responses to “Movin’ on up: Clinton 46%, Obama 45%”

1. 

   Gull is grasping here.
   

   Tracking means something for about 10 minutes.

   And a static one for less than the time it takes to compile the info and report it.

   A tracking poll allows us the ability to see movement every day, as issues crop up in the campaign. It’s the reason campaigns use them – they get to see how well the message is working. A static poll is truly a snapshot in time.

   linda b – this post was about the Gallup poll. How can you say that it is irrelevant? How can a poll be spin? My status as a delegate or not has nothing to do with the results of the poll.

   And I’m not even going to talk about that popular vote thing or CNN, neither of which has anything to do with this post about polls.

   Posted by vjp | Sunday, April 20, 2008, 2:41 pm
2. 

   I’m an Obama delegate, and I think it’s great that HRC is having good numbers. Why? Here’s why:
   The positive aspects of this situation:
   BOTH Democrats are attracting new voters, raising more $$ than ever and whether the media wants them to or not- they are BOTH addressing issues such as healthcare, Iraq, and the economy.

   The bottom line is- regardless of who is on top at a certain day (and Kudos to HRC to the good day and positive poll numbers), is that we need to remember that unless we want more of the same- we need to relish the fact that we have a GREAT Senate candidate in Mark Warner, Glenn Nye is off to an excellent start and we WILL have a Democratic President on 1/20/09!

   So- let’s not lose sight of the forrest because of the trees.
   And Vivian- I am hoping for an “announcement” after the November election

   Posted by proudvadem | Sunday, April 20, 2008, 3:37 pm
3. 

   The popular vote is more relevant than the gallup poll, viv. Look at the numbers that have come out. Almost a million dems in Va as opposed to a little over 400000 for the repubs.
   So this is big.
   Popular vote trumps gallup.
   Now where is my chair.

   Posted by linda b | Sunday, April 20, 2008, 5:48 pm
4. 

   Viv, Gallup is a right wing leaning poll. I was saying that CNN does not even use them info. For your info.

   Posted by linda b | Sunday, April 20, 2008, 5:49 pm
5. 

   What does the polling of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters have to do with Gallup being “right wing leaning”? That makes no sense, linda.

   And don’t get me started on ONN.

   And no, the popular vote in VA has nothing to do with the Gallup poll in this post. I don’t have a clue as to why you think it does – perhaps you can explain?

   Posted by vjp | Sunday, April 20, 2008, 6:17 pm
6. 

   Gallup is one of the most revered polls that social scientists trust. Their sampling methods are among the best. I think calling Gallup “right wing” is a far stretch.

   Here’s today’s numbers in the same poll, Obama is 47, Clinton is 45:

   http://www.gallup.com/poll/106609/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Holds-Slight-47-45-Advantage.aspx

   Posted by proudvadem | Sunday, April 20, 2008, 8:02 pm
7. 

   saying that even cnn, you know, the most respected name in news (not) does not use them anymore because of their polling methods.
   the fact that they constantly poll more repubs than dems is why they are right leaning.

   Posted by linda b | Monday, April 21, 2008, 7:08 am
8. 

   Linda,
   I am stating what Political Scientist have claimed, using empirical evidence and a SCIENTIFIC method. Not just a blanket claim. There is social science to back this up.
   Crack open a copy of the American Political Science Review or Political Opinion Quarterly. Both peer reviewed academic journals.

   Gallip wouldn’t carry any weight among the academic comminity if the methodology was not precise.

   And “CNN, the most respected name in news” …that’s a SUBJECTIVE opinion. Gallup’s polls are more costly than many others. But from a social science standpoint, they were groundbreaking in developing sampling methods that are held as the standard today.

   Sorry to sound like a wonk, but 12 credits of quantitative methods and research design will do that to you

   Posted by proudvadem | Monday, April 21, 2008, 11:33 am
9. 

   If you actually read my CNN banter, I put NOT after the phrase.

   Posted by linda b | Monday, April 21, 2008, 12:52 pm
10. 

    ok, since YOU all love gallup

    Gallup Daily: Obama Regains Lead Over Clinton, 49% to 42%

    Posted by linda b | Monday, April 21, 2008, 2:12 pm

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