Wow. Seems that everybody is releasing polls!
The Zogby Wall Street Journal poll shows Webb 51%, Allen 47%. The margin of error is +/-3.1%.
Rasmussen has it Webb 51%, Allen 46%. Has the attack on Webb’s writings backfired? I listened to a bit of Tony Macrini’s show this morning and if those callers were any indication, I’d have to say the answer is yes.
CNN’s poll, conducted by Opinion Research, shows Webb at 50% to Allen’s 46%, just within the MOE of 4%.
What these independent polls do is validate what the DSCC’s internal poll shows: Webb 47%, Allen 43%.
And then we have the latest Majority Watch poll in the 2nd Congressional District. This poll shows Kellam leading Drake 50% to 45%, outside of the MOE of +/-3.11%. This is the third poll done by this organization. The first showed Kellam ahead 51% to 43%, and the second showed Drake ahead 49% to 45%. Averaging the three polls together, Kellam leads Drake 48.7% to 45.7%.
But what do polls mean? Not a whole lot. What matters is the vote on election day. Get involved in the GOTV effort – NOW. One week from today, we will be participating in the ultimate poll: casting our votes.
Technorati Tags: Jim Webb, George Allen, Phil Kellam, Thelma Drake
VIVIAN J. PAIGE | All Politics is Local 
I think we’ll see a lot out of the Allen camp this week in reaction to the release of these polls. Like most elections, the Republicans typically start scrambling for their base in the last week or so, once they realize things aren’t as rosy as they hoped. Expect the same here. Watch for Allen campaigning hard in Tidewater and on the Southside to sure up his conservative base (if there’s any left.)
Both races (Kellam and Webb) will come down to GOTV. We have the votes, we just have to make sure they’re at the polls on November 7th.
I’ve seen good Webb polls now for the past week or so, and Allen and the GOP have yet to release counter ones. This mean they’re as down as we hope? Who knows. But vote early, and vote often.
Vivian,
In contests momentum is a mysterious force. No doubt, you’ve seen enough Redskins games to have noticed the momentum of a given game shift dramatically over one lucky play, many a time. In baseball hot streaks and slumps are even more confounding. Politics is a game, too, whether we like to think of it that way or not.
Allen seemingly had all the advantages this year. It was his race to lose and it looks like he’s about to do that. His campaign hit the wall on August 11 with his bullying incident that became a YouTube phenomenon. Since then he’s been in a free fall. Of course, Bush’s sinking popularity has played a role, too.
It seems that no matter what the Allen camp does, it blows back in Allen’s face. The attack on Webb’s novels being the most recent example. Has Webb been lucky?
Perhaps, but I’d say it’s more like Webb has seized the moment. As the old football cliché goes — good luck is when preparation meets opportunity.
The last time I remember a statewide candidate dropping so fast was Mary Sue Terry in 1993‘s gubernatorial race. Allen was the beneficiary then. Which points at another cliché — what goes around, comes around.
I wonder how Allen’s three-staffer tackling of a constituent asking a question is going to play . . .
Just curious…why do a whole post, and then say that the topic doesn’t mean a lot anyway?
Well, simply because it doesn’t mean much to me doesn’t mean that others don’t find it interesting.
Besides the tackling of someone who asked a question worth asking (gross as it may be, but he is the spitter as he’s shown over and over), what’s with all this stuff about arrest warrants he won’t explain and the divorce records from his first marriage he needs to hide?
Sometimes, make that often, I do think we go too far in asking candidates to cough up and explain every single time they ran a red light, but in this case it seems to me Allen has asked for it. His clear disdain for equality of all and expressed disgust for those he assumes to be “outsiders” from his defined circle – for whatever reason – seems to me to put his personal attitudes in question.