July 15 was the filing deadline for financial reports for the period 5/28 – 6/30. These reports are now available at Virginia Public Access Project. Here’s a rundown on the local House races, including a couple of additional races since my last post on this. (Note: * indicates incumbent.) Since there are so many races, I’ve put the info below the fold.
21st
Bobby Mathieson (D)* – raised $47,468, on hand $65,308
Ron Villanueva (R) – raised $17,950, on hand $23,953
Not sure what’s going on with Villaneuva’s filing. Updated to include Expect a tough race.
64th
Bill Barlow (D)* – raised $36,193, on hand $54,188
Stan Clark (R) – raised $31,300, on hand $25,151 including $9,200 loan
Albert Burckard Jr (I) – n/a, on hand 5/27 $0
Clark won the Republican primary on 6/9. I’ve heard this is going to be a tough race.
80th
Jennifer Lee (R) – raised $3,485, on hand $4,801
Matthew James (D) – raised $1,100, on hand $<15,322>
James won the Democratic primary on 6/9. This is an open seat, due to the retirement of Ken Melvin. The district is heavily Democratic
82nd
Bob Purkey (R)* – raised $4,406, on hand $79,226
Peter Schmidt (D) – raised $33,303, on hand $55,004
Schmidt is putting together a spirited campaign.
83rd
Joe Bouchard (D)* – raised $36,403, on hand $40,772
Chris Stolle (R) – raised $33,186, on hand $28,294 including $10,000 loan from brother Ken
I still consider Bouchard to be the most vulnerable of the Democrats in Virginia Beach.
87th
Paula Miller (D)* – raised $3,800 $7,550, on hand $17,763 $21,513 including $2,000 loan
John Amiral (R) – raised $22,561, on hand $14,434 including $16,150 loan
From all that I’ve heard, this race won’t be close. Miller by a landslide.
89th
Kenny Alexander (D)* – raised $7,350, on hand $36,635
Anthony Triplin (I) – raised $4,371, on hand $59,474
Interestingly enough, neither of these candidates reported any expenditures.
90th
Algie Howell (D)* – raised $4,460, on hand $28,516
Jason Call (R) – raised $2,666, on hand $40,334 including $35,000 loan
Howell won the Democratic primary on 6/9 and should win easily in November.
91st
Tom Gear (R)* – raised $15,006, on hand $19,769
Sam Eure (D) – raised $410, on hand $403
Gordon Helsel (I) – raised $35,147, on hand $52,238
I’m hearing that Democrats are urging Eure to drop out of the race. Seems a lot of folks think Helsel can beat Gear.
93rd
Phil Hamilton (R)* – raised $112,733, on hand $180,160
Robin Abbott (D) – raised $54,778, on hand $113,026
This is going to be a close, tough race.
94th
Glenn Oder (R)* – raised $15,770, on hand $53,983
Gary West (D) – raised $7,830, on hand $36,371 including $3,000 loan
West needs to raise some more money to compete here. Maybe the DFA endorsement will help.
100th
Lynwood Lewis (D)* – raised $10,564, on hand $19,434
Melody Scalley (R) – raised $5,775, on hand $3,548
John W Smith, Jr (I) – raised $100, on hand $68
From what I hear, this race won’t be close, either.
~
The deadline also covered the Senators, even though they don’t have a race this year. I’ll look at the numbers on those in a separate post.
Viv,
Re: 64th District race.
You hear it’s going to be a tough race.
What Republican operatives have told me is that they think it’s the kind of seat they could only pick up in the course of a big statewide win. I don’t think McDonnell can beat Deeds “big”–say five or six points — although certainly Bob could win. McAuliffe was the only Dem candidate who gave the Virginia GOP a chance for a “big” win, the only one who could have collapsed like Terry in 1993.
Interesting. That’s not what I’ve been hearing. Guess we’re talking to different operatives 😉
Look at the 93rd reports.
Hamilton is bought and paid for by the drug companies, insurance companies and hospitals. He is nothing but a pac man gobbling up all that pac money, and one would presume, doing their bidding in Richmond.
What a dynamic in the race. On the other side is a candidate who fights the aforementioned companies them every day on behalf of consumers (and hopefully voters!) getting screwed by them.
This will be fun!
Looking at both reports, it appears to be the doctors vs. the lawyers in this race. That could lead some people to hope no one wins.;-)
“Lawyers making Laws are like Doctors making Diseases”
VPAP reports Delegate Paula Miller with $21,513 now
I’ve updated the numbers.
A great chunk of Oder’s money is from the same payday lenders he says he is against.
West has walked every precinct and is engaging voters.
This is going to be a race that is going to be won on the ground.
What is the benefit of Helsel winning? He’s a conservative Republican, how would he be better than Gear?
From what I hear, he’s heads and shoulders above Gear. And folks – Republican and Democrat – want to get rid of Gear. There was an interesting article over at The Shad Plank a couple of weeks ago about this as well.
A conservative, small government politician who is an independent is head and shoulders above any democrat and republican. If you have a party your basically forbid from getting anything done, if the two parties work together they can’t campaign against each other and perpetuate their power.
Oder is getting his money from the predatory lenders he says he is against.
He has raised very little for an imcumbent. In one month he has spent twice as much as West. For what?
He also has the same guy who ran Marty Williams campaign as his campaign manager.
Small correction, the guy who ran Williams campaign into the ground is “consulting” not running the campaign. But the end result will be the same! Bad advice, bad outcome. I live in the 94th and only two candidates have ever come to my door. John Miller and Gary West. Very impressive, this guy West. Unlike Oder, West listens. I’ve also checked VPAP and you’re right, Oder has been taking money from the predatory payday lenders, he claims he’s fighting. Time to rid Richmond of that foul ODER!
I really like Gordon Helsel. I find it interesting that Tom Gear’s opposition to certain transportation fundings was one reason some Republicans want to dump Gear. Especially considering that Helsel as mayor of Poquoson fought tooth and nail against the unconstitutional HRTA.
I met Gordon Helsel at a public hearing on HRTA and shook his hand. He’s a good guy. I’m not familiar with Gear’s judicial appointment issues, but I hope Gear pulls off the victory. If we had to lose Gear, I guess Helsel would be good replacement. I’d prefer Helsel to knock somebody else out of office though.
My pick’s?
21st- Bobby Mathieson
64th- Barlow-he’s won tough fights
80th- James will win
82nd- Purkey by a landslide
83rd- Bouchard. Stolle’s name kills him with fiscal conservatives.
87th- Miller would be vulnerable to a quality Republican in a district carried by Drake.
89th- Alexander will probably win
90th-I really like Call, he’s a great guy and would be a fine choice. Odds favor him losing unfortunately.
91st- Gear. Fear of splitting the ticket and losing the seat will cause Republicans to stay on board. Helsel’s only chance is if the Democrat drops. Libertarians know all about three way races. Trust me on this one.
93rd- Hamilton
94th- Oder can be beat, but you would need good candidate with money.
100th- Lewis will win.
94th?
You have a good candidate. No you have a GREAT CANDIDATE in Gary West who is matching Oder dollar for dollar and going door to door! Oder is toast!
Not according to VPAP numbers put up here. West needs more money. If you Dems want to pick up a seat, funneling money to West might be a good idea.
Oder has a few weaknesses, but to exploit them, West just needs more money.
I don’t know what report you are looking at, but the VPAP report has Oder with $38,954 and West with 39,376. Maybe in Brittland that gives Oder an advantage but in the real world it doesn’t. Plus Oder is having to do what Marty Williams had to do. BUY PEOPLE. He has had to buy people to do everything. West has a large contingent of volunteers. Considering the even call on money, the fact that Oder has to buy people to do everything, you’d have to give the advantage to West!
Oder is weak on everything he’s ever done, or failed to do. This one is going West in November!
You are only looking at 2009 funds raised. When you look at the overall dollars raised for this election cycle, Oder has raised $84,408 and West has raised $39,376. Take a look here.
Viv, I see the numbers but a lot of that money was there from the beginning. Cary over money.
Gary is doing really well for a challanger.
The ground game will do it.
Again I have to disagree. The election cycle didn’t start when Gary entered the race – it started at the end of the last election. So Oder has had a head start. Gary did well in the first reporting cycle, not so well this time. He’s got to step it up in order to be competitive.