My latest op-ed, title above, appeared in Wednesday’s Virginian-Pilot.
Folks who read this blog know that I have a long view when it comes to politics. I’m always looking down the road to see what’s coming. The Public Policy Polling releases last week gave me a bit of info on where we are right now going into the 2013 gubernatorial election.
I am reminded of this point four years ago, when political junkies knew that the 2009 race had McDonnell and Bolling on the Republican side and Deeds and Moran on the Democratic side. We have two Republicans for 2013 – Bolling and Cuccinelli – but the Democratic picture is a bit more murky. Almost everyone thinks McAuliffe, a late entrant into the 2009 process, will run. As for there being another Democratic candidate for governor – that’s anyone’s guess at this point.
PPP polled Tom Perriello, who I seriously doubt will run. I’ve heard that Ward Armstrong would like to run, but I’d advise against that. Mark Warner may not be completely happy in the Senate but him leaving to run for governor again seems a bit far-fetched to me. Some of us encouraged him to run for governor in 2009 instead of Senate in 2008, but that didn’t happen.
If things hold true, though, who is governor in 2013 depends on who is president in 2012, a point that even PPP mentioned in its reports. So early 2013 polling is interesting – and fodder for blogs and op-eds – but may mean little after 2012.
In the meantime, we have the entire General Assembly up for election in November. So while I take a long view, I’m not ignoring what’s happening right now.
Those who are not political junkies have my sympathy. It’s election year in Virginia every year.