Yesterday was the filing deadline for campaign finance disclosure reports for candidates on the ballot in November. The data below covers the period August 11 to August 31 and was taken from the Virginia Public Access Project, better known as VPAP. As of this writing, the information on VPAP is just the raw data from the State Board of Elections filings. Value-added data is to be available later.
Here’s what the records show for local races (note: * indicates incumbent):
1st (leans D)
John Miller (D)* – raised $56,905, on hand $122,462
Mickey Chohany (R) – raised $37,585, on hand $60,277 (includes $30,000 in loans)
Although the filing period was short, it is interesting to note that cash donation for Miller ($36,985) came from 69 donors while cash donations for Chohany ($13,719) came from only 37 donors. Looks like the Governor’s $50K hasn’t made a difference in this race.
2nd (solid D)
Mamie Locke (D)* – raised
$5,850, on hand $45,766
Thomas Harmon IV (R) – raised $10,150 including $2,000 in loans, on hand $612 (loans not repaid)
Unless something major happens, this will not be a competitive race.
3rd (solid R)
Tommy Norment (R)* won the 8/23 primary and faces no opposition in the general election.
6th (leans D)
Ralph Northam (D)* – raised $65,060, on hand $286,016
Ben Loyola (R) – raised $13,685, on hand $71,024 (includes $51,400 in loans)
Like the 1st, the number of donors in this race is interesting: Northam’s cash donations ($57,343) came from 93 donors while Loyola’s cash donations ($13,685) came from 39 donors. The governor has not put any money in this race yet. And I still haven’t seen reported on Loyola’s financials the in-kind donation by the RPV of the poll they did for him.
House of Delegates
21st (leans R)
Ron Villanueva (R)* – raised $38,475, on hand $61,377 (includes $5,000 in loans)
Adrianne Bennett (D) – raised $21,164, on hand $18,536
Like most first time candidates, Bennett’s burn rate is too high. This race has the potential to be competitive but not if she continues to spend more than she’s taking in.
64th (leans R)
Bill Barlow (D)* – raised $18,917, on hand $51,684
Richard Morris (R) – raised $17,495, on hand $14,611 (numbers from the SBE website)
If this continues, I’ll have to update my ranking.
90th (solid D)
Algie Howell (D)* won the 8/23 primary and faces no opposition in the general election.
93rd (barely leans D)
Robin Abbott (D)* – raised $32,251, on hand $56,066
Mike Watson (R) – raised $26,766 including loans of $2,047, on hand $46,801 (includes $12,047 in loans)
Abbott’s cash donations ($19,335) came from 68 donors while Watson’s cash donations ($8,730) came from 27 donors. Noncash contributions from the RPV are the only thing keeping this close.
94th (leans R)
Gary West (D) – raised $1,785, on hand $1,785
David Yancey (R) – raised $24,545, on hand $14,191
This is an open seat, made available because of the retirement of Glenn Oder, so both candidates had a late start. The district was made slightly more Republican after redistricting, going from a 60.4% McDonnell district to 61.5%. However, Obama edged McCain in this district, 50% to 49%, so it is not completely unwinnable for a Democrat. The key will be West’s ability to raise money. His donations, all cash, came from 9 donors while Yancey’s cash donations ($16,745) came from 22 donors, including himself. If Yancey has already tapped out his large donors and West steps up, this could be a competitive race. As of this writing, though, it leans Republican.
95th (solid D)
Mayme BaCote (D)* – raised $2,929, on hand $11,218
Glenn McGuire (Libertarian) – raised $115, on hand $50
McGuire is a late entry to challenge BaCote. This district actually became more Republican as the result of redistricting. But don’t get excited: the district went from 32.7% McDonnell to 34%, making it a solid Democratic district. The only reason I even bothered to look at the numbers was because I ran into Del. BaCote at Rep. Scott’s Labor Day event. Unless McGuire seriously steps up his fundraising, this race will not be competitive.
For the first time in a long time, all of the financial reports are available at the time I’m writing this post. Kudos to the candidates for getting their reports done on time.
If you want an explanation of my rankings, see this post.